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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Global equities reversed earlier gains on Tuesday after investors digested hot US inflation ahead of the start of the earnings season. The Dow Jones closed 0.3% lower at a four-week low while the S&P 500 was down by 0.4% and the Nasdaq ended 0.3% lower, mostly weighed down by tech and banking stocks. European markets also extended losses, amid lingering concerns that rising inflation and higher interest rates will drag the block’s economy into a recession.
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