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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The three major US indices posted losses last week, with the S&P 500 snapping a three-week winning streak that had lifted it to the best performance since 2020, as investors reacted to the Fed’s more aggressive tone in fighting inflation. For the week, the Nasdaq sank 3.6% and the S&P slipped 1.3%, the worst declines for both indices in a month, while the Dow Jones edged lower by 0.3%. On the other side of the Atlantic, European equities managed to secure their second weekly gain, with the Stoxx 600 Index rallying by 0.5%.
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