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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities finished higher in choppy action, posting the first gains in four sessions, as investors digested a host of monetary policy decisions from central banks in Asia. The Bank of Japan and People’s Bank of China kept their respective benchmark interest rates unchanged, but the former surprisingly tweaked its yield curve control policy. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.3% to 32,850, the S&P 500 Index rose 0.1% to 3,822, and the Nasdaq Composite ended practically flat at 10,547. Markets in Europe underperformed, with the Euro Stoxx 50 Index down 0.2% to 3,802.
Summary as at 21.12.2022
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