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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities closed higher yesterday, extending the rally from late last week, as Q4 earnings season is set to shift into high gear today. The markets also prepared for next week’s Fed monetary policy decision, with the Central Bank expected to slow down on their tightening campaign. The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.8% to 33,630, the S&P 500 Index advanced 1.2% to 4,020, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 2.0% to 11,364. In Europe, equity markets also started the week on a positive note, with the benchmark Euro Stoxx 50 rising 0.7%, led by an over 2% advance in tech shares.
Summary as at 24.01.2023
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