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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US equities closed modestly lower in a lacklustre mid-week session as the markets digested a hotter-than-expected September Producer Price Index, while looking ahead to today’s read on consumer prices. Meanwhile, the Fed released the minutes from its September monetary policy meeting, indicating its intentions to remain aggressive after upping its target for the fed funds rate. The Dow fell 0.1%, the S&P 500 declined 0.3%, and the Nasdaq Composite shed 0.1% on generally moderate volume. Equity markets in Europe also finished to the downside, with the Euro Stoxx 50 retreating by 0.3%.
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