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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
US stocks mounted a late session turnaround Monday, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.6% despite falling as much as 1.07% earlier in the session. The S&P 500 added 0.6% after touching a new low for the year earlier in the day while the Dow added 0.3%. The communication services, technology and consumer cyclical sectors led the advance, while real estate, consumer defensive and utility stocks performed worst. Meantime, the main bourses in Europe closed the session sharply lower as mounting worries about global economic growth and the looming US Fed rate hikes kept sentiment subdued.
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