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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalization and further fuel higher structural inflation.
The Dow added over 200 points on Tuesday and the S&P 500 rose 0.2% while the Nasdaq was down 0.2%, following a sudden pullback in tech shares, as investors assessed a slew of upbeat earnings from big retailers against a backdrop of growing concerns over slowing economic growth. Elsewhere, European equities extended gains for the fifth session in a row yesterday, with the Euro Stoxx 50 adding 0.4%, underpinned by miners and defensive sectors.
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