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The war in Ukraine has tended to increase uncertainty regarding inflation and growth prospects. When and with what consequences this war will end is pure speculation, but capital markets are expected to build a certain immunity to the headline risks in the coming weeks. The medium- to long-term consequences, on the other hand, could be significant. It is possible that we are at the beginning of a new bloc formation or a new Cold War. This would put a significant damper on globalisation and further fuel higher structural inflation.
Wall Street’s main indices fell on Wednesday, with steep declines in tech and other growth stocks, after minutes from the Federal Reserve’s March meeting sharpened investors’ focus on the US central bank’s plans to fight inflation. The Nasdaq logged a decline of over 2% for a second straight day, while the Dow Jones and the S&P 500 were down 0.4% and 1.0%, respectively. Major European bourses also closed in negative territory, amid fears over the economic impact of fresh sanctions against Russia.
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